Monday, November 25, 2013
Poker tournament
The realities are:
Even the top pros only win tournaments less than 1% of the time. For some it was as low as 0.60%. So this means they are winning only 1 out of every 100 times. Of course variance doesn’t always come on schedule and they can go 200-300 tournaments without a win.poker lenses
Top pros only final table around 3% of the time. Some are as low as 2%.
Top pros are only cashing about 13% of the time. This means they lose money 87% of the time they play! In fact, amateurs cash more often than pros. The difference is that when pros do cash, they cash deep more often.
Pros have massive downswings like everyone else. In fact, becasue of the volume they play, they have had longer non-cash streaks.
Why have the pros averaged a $400,000 profit this year before September? It is in their ability to close tournaments. There is a reason why their ROI is 58% higher. Let’s look at the stats:
Pros make 1/3 more final tables than amateur poker players.
At a 9 person final table, the average of hitting top 3 should be 33%. Pros are hitting this 43.61% of the time.
Of the times they cash, pros are final tabling almost twice as often as amateurs (23.9% compared to 12.8%).
Pros finish in the top 3 almost 3x as often as amateurs.
Volume, volume, volume. Let’s not forget that pros play all day, every day. This is their job. They have a distinct advantage of overcoming bad variance much quicker and also seeing “the long run” of making profitable decisions quicker.
Keep in mind that the group of amateurs used were volunteers from various poker forums. While not all were winning players, the fact that they study the game says they likely have better results than an average amateur. Also, because of their volume size an individual amateur’s skills may be better or worse than their results show.
Improving Your Game
How can you use these stats to improve your game?
Add More Tables
Get outside of your 1-3 tabling comfort zone and simply add a couple more tables. I know the argument is that it’s harder to make reads, but the volume you put in will make up for that. In addition, this extra volume means you are playing more hands and will result in improving your game even faster. This extra experience will more than make up for the short-term loss of a perfect read.
Play More Days
Just try to add 1 more day per week. Don’t be lazy. If you currently play 7 tournaments a day, adding 1 more day x 52 weeks = 364 more tournaments/year. Even at the amateur ROI average above of 20% and average buy-in of $30, that means an extra $2,184 in profit.luminosu contact lenses
Stop Caring About Individual Tournaments
It’s easy to expend emotional energy in any single poker tournament. You’re trying to win of course. But the odds are that you’re not going to. In fact, you’re only going to cash about 15% of the time. All you can do is focus on making good decisions and the variance will work itself out in the end.
Play for the Win
There’s a reason why amateurs cash more than pros. They care more about it and tighten up near the bubble. But you will miss out on valuable opportunities to accumulate chips if you are playing just to cash. In addition, you can’t fear busting or making a mistake when you get deep. In order to make real money playing poker tournaments, you have to trust your instincts and play to win.
If you’ve ever grown frustrated playing poker tournaments, don’t sweat it. Keep in perspective that even the best players in the world don’t win that often. The only way to balance out negative variance is to put in enough volume where your skill can prevail.
Monday, November 18, 2013
8 Top Tips for Becoming a Professional Gambler in Horse Racing, Poker and Other Sports
Most folk are under the impression that professional gamblers have one bet, play one game of poker, or most other form of betting, and then collect the winnings and go back to their posh house for a few months rest, before having another gamble!! luminosu contact lenses
I wish it was like that, but in legitimate life it is immensely different. I personally work 10-12 hours a day, 360 days a year, and still do a bit on the days off, including Christmas day. When you see professional poker players they are spending 3-5 days at a table in a tournament every week, sometimes sitting for 12 hours, and when they are not doing that, they are at home playing poker on the computer.
So if you are looking for a cosy life, do not take up gaming as a profession. Yes it can pay well, very well, but you need to put in a lot of work, and it can be 2-3 years before you are making any meaningful money. Anyone who tells you otherwise is undoubtedly lying just to get your funds.
When you see tipping advertisers stating things like "We made $26,000 to $100 stakes in the last 12 months", it looks sensational. However, they need to get your attention as a 1/8th ad in a paper costs around $500, and they need that money back before turning a profit. And how numerous average gamblers have $100 to bet, especially when you need a betting bank, and with $100 stakes, the cash you need before you even place one bet is around $3,500, any less and you can easily blow it all. Then divide the $26,000 by the $100 to work out how many points you make a year, and that is 260, then divide by 52 to see how many points profit a week, and that comes to 5pts a week. Wow!! If you are just starting off you are likely to only be using a realistic $5, so that is $25 a week average. That may not sound much but you have to learn to walk before you can run. If you cannot profit with 10c bets, how the hell will you profit with $100 bets?
Also think why quite a few tipsters advertise every day. This is because they have such a considerable turnover; they need to keep renewing the customer base. This does not always mean the tipster is rubbish, in various cases they may be profitable long term, but the average Joe Punter always wants profit NOW and every day, and average Joe points more than 5 points per week, whereas a full time professional would be happy with that.infrared contact lenses
If you are going to gamble to profit, then for the initial few months this should be your grooming were you will be doing a lot of work for little return, but you will also learn how to handle losing runs, how to cope with mistakes, and if it does all go incorrect and you lose the betting bank, you should have learnt a lot from it for as little loss as possible, as you should only ever bet what you can afford to lose, especially while proving to yourself you can profit. You may have a spare $10,000 available, but prove you can profit with a $1000 bank initial, and then add to the bank monthly.
So here are the 8 tips you need to learn, and stick to religiously if you want to stand a chance of ever making money from betting.
1.Patience: If you want big profits now, try the lottery. Building up you betting banks takes time a lot of time.
2.Betting Banks: If you do not have a betting bank to beginning with, and you are just betting from whatever is in your pocket, you will never make a profit. It is as simple as that. Most punters lie to themselves that they are breaking even. Do not do that, be truthful.
3.Staking: You see betting plans for sale on EBay, most of them may make you a few dollars quickly, but it is 100% guaranteed they will bust your bank as these are designed by amateurs who have no understanding of betting maths in the legitimate world. Always emergence with levels, if you cannot make hard cash with that simple staking plan you will not make funds with anything more complicated. Once you have proven over a few months you can turn a profit with level stakes, and then you can switch to each bet being between 1%-3% of the bank. Most professionals will beginning at 3%, but get it down to 1% as the bank grows.
4.Bank Management: Managing banks is not just staking, it also involves listing every bet on a spreadsheet so you can monitor things like average odds, strike rate, losing runs, etc. If you do not list every bet, you will have no idea where you stand, and no way of having data to look back and learn from.
5.Risk Management: Most people follow one tipster, or one system. This is usually suicide, you do not see the big boys in the city markets investing everything in one stock do you? No. They spread it around, and so should you. Use a number of systems, proven tipsters, method bets, etc. And ensure you have a separate betting bank for each (you can use the same betting account, as the spreadsheets you keep will advise you the amount which is in each bank).
6.Alcohol: NEVER drink while gaming, you will bet more than you should, you will bust banks, you will play bets you would never do when sober.
7.Forums: Join a forum where you can portion ideas, this can prove a powerful benefit, but make sure it is a decent one, and not full of idiots just spouting off how good they are!
8.Fun Bets: You are often told not to do any 'fun bets' if you pray to turn professional, but this will not happen, as it is hard to break old habits at maiden. The best way to treat fun bets is to handle them as you would any pro bets. Separate betting bank, list all bets, and it will not be long before you lose the bank and realise how wonderful your own tipping is!
This advice goes for betting in any country, on horseracing, greyhounds, soccer, NFL, poker, etc.
You can also find numerous free horseracing systems, staking systems, poker systems, on the web, ignore them, they are only free for a reason, as they lose money.
These days it is possible to receive horse racing software, poker software, etc that can assist you, they will only make you bankroll if you are already doing so, they just enhance your skills, not make them. Search the web for reviews on every product before parting with any money; ask people on forums which software is the best.
Saturday, November 16, 2013
gambling program
Clearly, the technology for delivering such a "fair" wagering service ought to be paid for for by some means. This payment is taken in the type of a fee on the punter's net winnings on an celebration (or "market"). That is, commission rate is charged only on any good big difference in between winnings and losses on the exact same celebration.
This gambling program is as near to a flawlessly fair gambling environment as it is doable to obtain.
There are quite handful of gambling exchanges in existence, however, maybe because the exchange wagering software is so complicated and consequently expensive. The large amongst trade gaming net web sites is Betfair, with about ninety% of the marketplace at the time of writing. Other people are the Worldwide Wagering Change (BetDAQ), ibetX, Betsson, Matchbook and the Globe Wager Alternate (WBX). Betfair is by far the most common simply because it was the 1st to present this "perfectly fair" gaming atmosphere, and is trusted to carry out precisely and quickly.marked cards contact lenses
Precept
So, why does golf gambling give you that "edge" over gambling on other sports activities? The reply, however straightforward, is usually overlooked even by individuals who wager playing golf often. And if you're an individual who's never ever guess on tennis games, you'd virtually undoubtedly not have realized the significance of the tennis games scoring program on the gambling.
Contemplate this essential difference among the tennis scoring method and that of probably any other activity you can assume of.
In other sports activities and video games the trailing gamer or crew need to make up the points gap by successful a position for every position they have currently misplaced in purchase to capture up to the leader. Only then can they start off to move forward. This truth seems obvious.
In tennis games, even so, the trailing participant or group can shed the 1st established six- (perhaps with a deficit of 24 details). That group can then gain the moment set by the most narrow of margins, 7-six in a tie-break, successful the arranged by really handful of details (or even by winning fewer details than the opponents, a uncommon but feasible incidence!). poker lenses
As quickly as the trailing player or staff wins the moment arranged, the two sides suddenly have even scores, even however a single gamer or staff might have really won several far more factors than the opponents.
This anomaly typically has a profound psychological effect on a single or both sides, which has an effect on the way they execute for the up coming number of mins, and consequently also the betting prospects requested and provided by punters on the match up. This, nonetheless, is one more factor of golf gambling which might be the subject of yet another write-up. This post offers with the mathematical facet of tennis games gaming and how to gain cash with this information.
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